Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.293808 2.616851 2.969224 3.382167 3.852927 4.373013 4.991399
2025-08-31 1.801627 2.241792 2.764774 3.432206 4.261942 5.260413 6.554745
2025-09-07 1.502253 1.984127 2.591286 3.412953 4.497187 5.881003 7.785034
2025-09-14 1.277543 1.771806 2.425261 3.353165 4.638979 6.361301 8.850075
2025-09-21 1.117414 1.616795 2.305138 3.324281 4.797825 6.856217 9.960084
2025-09-28 0.983852 1.478530 2.186314 3.274176 4.908093 7.277964 10.990685
2025-10-05 0.948431 1.475785 2.256631 3.498770 5.430840 8.331765 13.039130
2025-10-12 0.869762 1.397524 2.204066 3.528447 5.656067 8.954257 14.483064
2025-10-19 0.823544 1.363663 2.213897 3.652185 6.033863 9.838144 16.412866
2025-10-26 0.752823 1.282265 2.139190 3.629892 6.169650 10.342278 17.763530
2025-11-02 0.692447 1.211449 2.073927 3.614631 6.311494 10.862284 19.179844
2025-11-09 0.630683 1.131870 1.985906 3.550557 6.360728 11.224993 20.349509
2025-11-16 0.590739 1.090757 1.966985 3.618200 6.670284 12.105635 22.601745
2025-11-23 0.550753 1.046225 1.939118 3.669850 6.962167 12.994474 24.986844
2025-11-30 0.505446 0.986478 1.876740 3.649344 7.114907 13.639079 26.973747
2025-12-07 0.459827 0.921002 1.796569 3.585386 7.175680 14.112656 28.673203
2025-12-14 0.423280 0.869242 1.737013 3.554489 7.295880 14.708415 30.671872
2025-12-21 0.388122 0.816470 1.669967 3.500894 7.363220 15.202830 32.509883
2025-12-28 0.386604 0.832749 1.742662 3.741139 8.059439 17.035719 37.341574
2026-01-04 0.364468 0.803081 1.717842 3.772883 8.316978 17.980858 40.360365
2026-01-11 0.353259 0.795783 1.739020 3.905247 8.804133 19.457314 44.698438
2026-01-18 0.329534 0.758337 1.691725 3.881400 8.941954 20.185959 47.421755
2026-01-25 0.308485 0.724802 1.649749 3.865075 9.094408 20.959725 50.326443